We’re about 20 years
into the ‘Digital Revolution,’ and so far all of the things that have been
revolutionized have gotten worse, not better.
In advertising, to be
stupidly and exaggeratedly reductive, digital has since it’s very outset, given
clients and agencies an excuse to be cheap. The “digital” story has been that
since we can target people effectively, speak to them directly (with no waste)
and incite conversations about brands as easy as falling off a Cheeto (“Honey, I
had the most-amazing plastic wrap experience today as I was putting away a
leftover slice of avocado) we could do the whole marketing communications thing
on the cheap.
Let’s take a pause now.
Let’s think about brands
we like that we think about that we feel good about that actually seem to be
doing well where it matters to do well, not at Cannes, but in the market.
1.
KFC.
To my mind, KFC was all but dead a few years ago. Today, at least from the outside
looking in (and a superficial Alta Vista search) sales seem to have rebounded from
a many-years’ slump.
2.
Apple.
Ostensibly Apple could be the most hated company in the world. But we like them—and
permit them to charge us $39 for a $2 cord that grows obsolete every two years
or so.
3.
Nike.
$200 sneakers made by Asian children-neo-slaves in autocratic and stifling sweatshops
with bad lighting. Yet we like them.
My guess is, there
wouldn’t be that much disagreement regarding this list. And all three of these
success stories—success in both reputation and sales—are contingent on two
things.
First, outstanding
creative that differentiates and breaks through the clutter. Creative that gets
noticed, talked about and into the “culture.” Second, all three example above
run work that's big and important. Their advertising is expensively produced and they run in on premium
channels.
In short: they do good work. And put
money behind it.
Or in the words of Carl
Ally they “Impart useful consumer information in an executionally brilliant way.”
Now, shifting my
well-oiled gears again. Let’s think about two brands (or three depending on
your math) that have decided you can do things on the cheap.
First, has to be Pepsi.
Pepsi used to make great
commercials. Great commercials that ran on big events like the Super Bowl.
According to Money magazine, in the last decade (when Pepsi dramatically shifted away from advertising to social media) Coke's market share has risen from 17.3% to 17.8%, while Pepsi's has dropped from 10.3% to 8.4%, according to Beverage Digest. In 2016, soda was a $81 billion market in the US. So losing two points as Pepsi did, if my math is right, adds up to losing about $1.6 billion in sales.
Avi Dan in Forbes,
and a big story in the Times yesterday talked about the woes of the recently
merged Kraft Heinz crap-fest. Thousands of employees have been fired—or “efficiency-ized.”
And worse, to my mind, marketing spend has been eviscerated. Consequently sales
(which are meant to respond to marketing spend) have plummeted. As has the
combined company’s share price.
Dan puts it this way:
For much of the first
decade of the 21st century American companies amassed significant debt and used
it to support innovation and invest in their brands. That changed on September
15, 2008 with the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the ensuing Great Recession.
Companies became risk averse, and growth agenda was replaced by cost cutting.
Nowhere
was this changed frame of mind more noticeable than marketing. Advertising was
quickly deteriorated from being regarded an “investment” to “expense.”
Innovation vanished. Companies, and consumer packaged-goods in particular,
reduced investment in brands…
A
mania for austerity is now in full swing. Many companies, especially consumer
goods companies cut back on advertising in the last decade. Procter &
Gamble eliminated $2 billion in marketing costs…General Mills scaled back ad
and media expenses to $575 million in fiscal 2018 from $869 million in 2014.
Kraft Heinz shares have been in free fall,
over 30% in one day last week…Kraft Heinz spent 2.4% of sales on worldwide
advertising in 2017, a lower percentage than either H.J. Heinz or Kraft spent
when they were stand-alone companies. That 2017 ad budget of $629 million was
39% below the combined spending of Kraft and Heinz in 2014, the year before
they merged.
As an industry, once again, we are
acting on what we want to believe, not on what is reality in the market.
If you’re a plastic wrap or a
pickle or a snack cracker, you fall out of peoples’ consciousness if you aren’t
in front of them in a big way. Why? Because people don’t really care. You have
to make them care about you.
You have to be creative. You have
to spend money. You have to keep at it.
There are no short-cuts.
You can't cheap out.
You can't afford not to spend the money.
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